Poll indicates 40 percent of Americans anticipate civil conflict in upcoming ten years
(MENAFN) A new poll by YouGov reveals that 40% of Americans believe a civil war in the United States is either “somewhat” or “very” likely in the next ten years, highlighting growing national anxiety over deep political and social divisions. The survey, which included 3,375 adults, follows a period of heightened unrest, including widespread demonstrations and violent protests over immigration enforcement and opposition to President Donald Trump.
The results showed that women were more inclined than men to see civil conflict as a possibility, with 45% expressing concern. Political affiliation also played a role: 48% of Democrats, 39% of independents, and 32% of Republicans viewed a civil war as at least somewhat likely. Just over 20% of participants were uncertain or declined to respond.
The poll also reflected racial differences in perception. Among white respondents, 10% believed a civil war was “very likely,” compared to 18% of Black respondents. Hispanics were the least likely to completely dismiss the idea, with only 11% saying it was “not likely at all,” and 15% believing it was “very likely.”
Tensions have escalated in recent weeks. Earlier this month, riots broke out in California following federal immigration crackdowns. President Trump responded by deploying the National Guard and Marines, amid a public dispute with California Governor Gavin Newsom.
In a separate incident last week, Minnesota State Representative Melissa Hortman and her husband were killed, while State Senator John Hoffman and his wife were injured in what authorities described as politically motivated shootings.
Additionally, on Saturday, around 5 million people joined “No Kings” marches across all 50 states, protesting what organizers called authoritarianism, elitist policies, and the militarization of American governance.
Some Republican supporters have criticized Trump for straying from his “America First” agenda, particularly following his endorsement of Israeli airstrikes on Iran. Trump brushed off the backlash in an interview with The Atlantic, asserting that he alone determines the meaning of “America First.”
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